Wins Added: The Number That Shows Exactly How Every Move Changed Your Season
announcement · feature · analytics
Dynasty analytics have long answered "who won the trade in dynasty value?" Today we're adding the question that actually decides championships: how many wins did that move add to your season?
Wins Added is now live across trades, waivers, draft classes, and the mock draft simulator.
Two Flavors: Realized and Projected
Every wins-added figure comes in one of two forms:
- Realized Wins Added — past moves, actual outcomes. How many more regular-season wins did you finish with because of this trade, waiver claim, or draft pick? Calculated from real game results, not projections.
- Projected Wins Added — rest-of-season what-ifs. If you make this trade today, how many wins does the simulation say you'll add over the rest of the schedule?
Both use the same baseline: your own bench. The counterfactual isn't a generic replacement-level streamer — it's the next-best player you actually rostered. That makes the number honest. If you already had a great backup, upgrading via trade adds fewer wins than it would for a team with a weak bench.
Wins Attribution on the Overview
The Overview tab now shows a Realized Wins Added by Source leaderboard. Every manager's actual regular-season win total is split across the four ways rosters get built: startup draft, rookie drafts, trades, and waiver claims. The four buckets sum to their real win total.
This answers a question dynasty managers argue about constantly: are you winning because you draft well, trade well, or work the wire? Now you have the receipts.
Wins Added in Trade History
Every trade card in the Trades tab now shows Wins Added alongside dynasty value change. The AI analysis for each trade reasons about the projected win swing at the time of the deal and the realized outcome — so you can see whether your instincts were right and whether the wins actually materialized.
Expected Wins Added (EWA) in the Mock Draft
Premium users see a +W chip next to every available player in the mock draft. EWA estimates how many regular-season wins drafting that player adds to your specific team. It drives two key behaviors:
- Filling an empty starter slot at a position of need scores higher than stacking depth behind players you already have.
- Upgrading from a weak starter counts more for a struggling team than for an already-elite lineup, because the win probability function is nonlinear.
A new "Wins Added" sort in the player pool lets you cut straight to whoever helps your team the most, not just whoever is highest-ranked in general.
Waiver Wire Pickup Targets
The Waivers tab now surfaces projected-EWA pickup targets — players available on the wire ranked by how many wins they'd add to your team's specific lineup. If you're hunting for the one claim that moves the needle, this is the place to start.
Open the Overview or Trades tab to see Wins Added for your league.